MontrealDetailed Forecast Subscribe Subscriber Services ePaper canada. After calls for Elections Quebec to do a better job engaging young voters, more than 300 polling stations will be open in 175 CEGEPS, universities and other post-secondary institutions across the province on election day. Photograph by: Jeanine Lee , The GazetteMONTREAL — “Barring some frankly unforeseeable collapse, Philippe Couillard’s Liberal party is going to emerge with a victory on Monday. That’s the conclusion of a new Ekos research poll that has the Liberals winning 40 per cent of the vote, compared with 26.3 per cent for the Parti Quebecois, 21 per cent for the Coalition Avenir Quebec and 9.6 per cent for Quebec Solidaire. The numbers, based on a random sample of 1,422 eligible voters between March 27 and April 3, compare with other polls done over the last week. None of the polls show definitively whether the Liberals will form a minority or majority government, however. None of them offer good news for the PQ and Pauline Marois. If the end results do reflect this latest poll, it will be the worst election for the PQ since it first participated in an election in 1970. Ekos president Frank Graves said the results betray a huge miscalculation on the PQ’s part, and a poorly executed campaign. “Marois’s gambit has turned out to be a horrible disaster for her and her party,” Graves said Friday. “Using the secular charter, which was gaining momentum, to drive a wedge to a majority and drive a path to a referendum didn’t look that dumb to me. But the campaign wasn’t very well executed and the interaction of the economy and the referendum issue will end up spelling disaster. Support or lack thereof for a referendum was decisive. Ekos asked respondents what pollsters call a “forced choice” question about sovereignty, giving them only two choices: independence or the status quo. Some 65 per cent said they’d rather stick with the status quo. But according to Graves, it’s not out of any love for the Canadian federation, but more because Quebecers already feel detached from the rest of the country, and that they have the powers they need to be independent in spirit, if not legally. In 1998, 60 per cent of francophone Quebecers said they felt an attachment to the rest of Canada. In 2013 that number had dropped to 30 per cent. (In the rest of Canada, attachment went from 90 per cent in 1998 to 85 per cent in 2013. “The issue of a referendum has become moot because Quebecers have essentially left the country and the risk of an adventure which could cause strains on a fragile economic outlook didn’t make sense,” Graves explained. “People think there’s a rising affection for federalism, but I don’t think so. At the same time, Quebecers are worried about the economy. In a recent poll commissioned by the CBC, Ekos asked Quebecers what they thought were the most important election issues. Respondents overwhelmingly pointed to jobs and the economy, while issues such as language, sovereignty, and the Charter — all key elements of the PQ platform — were given little weight. Graves believes that in the end, the charter of values may have backfired on the PQ. “I like to believe that Quebecers look at some of the features of Bill 60 and say they’re not sure this is the way we want to go. Quebec has strong social justice values and this gambit was based on politics that would appeal to xenophobic tendencies. So I’m heartened by the fact they seemed to have not gone down that road. The only wild card now, Graves said, is voter turnout. Few people actually change their minds in the last days of an election campaign, he said. The notion that they switch at the last minute comes from pollsters trying to explain why they have egg on their face, he said. csolyom@montrealgazette. After calls for Elections Quebec to do a better job engaging young voters, more than 300 polling stations will be open in 175 CEGEPS, universities and other post-secondary institutions across the province on election day.Photograph by: Jeanine Lee, The Gazette E-mail this GalleryPrint this GalleryShare this Gallery Photo Galleries » More Photo Galleries »Photos of the dayThe day’s top photos, as chosen by our editors...more » Photos: Best of SportsThe best of the day’s sports photos, as chosen...more » New Vegas observation wheel soars...At a height of 550 feet, the High Roller at The LINQ... Woman shot dead in Lachine was a wanted drug ‘queen-pin’ in U.S. more » Six arrests as thousands of students demonstrate in Montreal Woman shot dead in Lachine was a wanted drug ‘queen-pin’ in U.S. Sign up to receive daily headline news from The Gazette. 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